Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 4.099736 4.876327 5.739835 6.768296 7.956819 9.284035 10.875094
2025-10-12 3.071235 4.095091 5.348709 6.984459 9.048913 11.553127 14.804175
2025-10-19 2.469593 3.619041 5.141566 7.278462 10.167919 13.902567 19.051166
2025-10-26 1.972177 3.142426 4.803039 7.284758 10.842131 15.689746 22.710772
2025-11-02 1.546868 2.664920 4.355609 7.030635 11.070775 16.839486 25.562364
2025-11-09 1.232954 2.285220 3.973008 6.786377 11.240394 17.870187 28.283090
2025-11-16 1.041062 2.061497 3.786977 6.798975 11.767900 19.435067 31.875647
2025-11-23 0.888614 1.873824 3.624728 6.815300 12.282343 20.999682 35.567207
2025-11-30 0.753109 1.689162 3.435205 6.751212 12.642225 22.331270 38.975847
2025-12-07 0.610657 1.461163 3.129435 6.435221 12.527908 22.866750 41.125369
2025-12-14 0.523655 1.328806 2.981252 6.381975 12.856215 24.147186 44.572281
2025-12-21 0.453366 1.217958 2.857060 6.354241 13.219303 25.503020 48.227477
2025-12-28 0.428331 1.208032 2.942299 6.756194 14.436337 28.473076 54.923440
2026-01-04 0.388745 1.155321 2.928929 6.956482 15.287475 30.855350 60.758980
2026-01-11 0.359946 1.123652 2.956734 7.244648 16.335408 33.670465 67.553636
2026-01-18 0.316190 1.042808 2.859367 7.249490 16.810637 35.447672 72.567464
2026-01-25 0.264187 0.926404 2.658261 6.996047 16.723662 36.140839 75.604753
2026-02-01 0.220952 0.823993 2.473379 6.752737 16.627652 36.798575 78.603270
2026-02-08 0.195542 0.769490 2.401378 6.765244 17.083296 38.574665 83.855122
2026-02-15 0.173518 0.720158 2.334761 6.781487 17.546190 40.393153 89.295404
2026-02-22 0.151445 0.664574 2.241350 6.717677 17.818496 41.833634 94.064920
2026-03-01 0.124575 0.583632 2.060657 6.403081 17.473145 41.948504 96.153891
2026-03-08 0.109034 0.540224 1.982718 6.350070 17.742862 43.390309 101.047456